Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 185.955279 221.173633 264.304075 322.069733 399.112221 5.009511e+02 6.505398e+02
2025-02-09 141.152909 181.654738 237.462789 323.541576 460.318177 6.846884e+02 1.122304e+03
2025-02-16 119.997979 161.864882 223.894171 328.843058 517.620052 8.842696e+02 1.807722e+03
2025-02-23 107.270247 150.291487 217.961195 341.977062 591.939345 1.166772e+03 3.111156e+03
2025-03-02 98.442693 142.426785 215.277880 358.726771 680.891594 1.563621e+03 5.851902e+03
2025-03-09 89.385385 132.429509 206.541797 360.837089 739.335912 1.950734e+03 1.063379e+04
2025-03-16 80.068487 120.541521 192.095492 346.987967 752.139221 2.215840e+03 1.736883e+04
2025-03-23 75.093764 115.336095 188.898116 356.363638 833.795407 2.888688e+03 4.529403e+04
2025-03-30 67.933413 105.388804 175.021463 337.711336 823.310414 3.133232e+03 8.431905e+04
2025-04-06 64.262059 101.276710 171.956331 344.160077 898.962313 4.053993e+03 5.035860e+05
2025-04-13 60.269594 96.120494 165.986116 341.831498 944.216331 4.948174e+03 2.991462e+07
2025-04-20 59.071643 96.035416 170.501226 368.365086 1122.519274 7.918273e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 58.812241 98.350444 182.050760 423.914189 1524.699042 2.028236e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 54.722445 92.683122 174.885631 422.013913 1652.142426 3.347312e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 51.746382 88.867987 171.284268 430.342329 1863.835687 7.168468e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 49.607553 86.511958 170.759654 449.419090 2202.694404 2.719768e+05 NaN
2025-05-25 47.879971 84.801468 171.515842 474.060238 2672.572830 6.926331e+06 NaN
2025-06-01 45.467241 81.329989 167.117023 477.173560 2970.378537 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 42.463010 76.271294 157.769408 456.779943 2971.071358 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 40.915405 74.308192 156.486693 470.572234 3469.307817 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 38.191931 69.463199 146.631976 443.192043 3325.074395 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 36.840238 67.625261 144.927366 452.631541 3814.472306 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 35.224463 65.043481 140.766607 449.219745 4102.623233 NaN NaN